Derby County 2-1 Stoke City - Championship - September 18, 2021 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

2 - 1

Wayne Rooney insists he is committed to Derby despite impending administration

Bird (31'), Davies (34')
Shinnie (8'), Sibley (38')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Ince (58')
Sawyers (33'), Skiri Oestigaard (77'), Ince (89')

The Rams put off-field financial problems behind them to defeat Stoke 2-1.

Sep 18, 18:43

The Match

Match Report

The 21-year-old was on target as the crisis club were 2-1 home winners over Stoke.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Derby County and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 37.82%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 33.82% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.88%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Derby County win was 1-0 (11.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
Derby County	Draw	Stoke City
33.82%	28.35%	37.82%

Both teams to score 46.6%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.35%

59.65%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.03%

79.97%

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.99%

33%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.41%

69.59%

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.56%

30.44%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.36%

66.64%

Score Analysis

Derby County 33.82%

Stoke City 37.81%

Draw 28.34%

Derby County	Draw	Stoke City
1-0 @ 11.13% 2-1 @ 7.34% 2-0 @ 6.17% 3-1 @ 2.71% 3-0 @ 2.28% 3-2 @ 1.61% Other @ 2.57% Total : 33.82%	1-1 @ 13.24% 0-0 @ 10.04% 2-2 @ 4.37% Other @ 0.7% Total : 28.34%	0-1 @ 11.94% 1-2 @ 7.88% 0-2 @ 7.11% 1-3 @ 3.12% 0-3 @ 2.82% 2-3 @ 1.73% 1-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.29% Total : 37.81%

How you voted: Derby vs Stoke

Derby County

20.0%

Draw

21.1%

Stoke City

58.9%

Head to Head

Mar 20, 2021 3pm

Gameweek 38

1-0

Brown (74')
Smith (21')

Cresswell (88')

Dec 12, 2020 3pm

Gameweek 18

0-0

Buchanan (48'), Knight (76'), Bielik (90+2')

Cousins (71')

Jan 31, 2020 7.45pm

Gameweek 30

4-0

Waghorn (21'), Martin (24'), Rooney (67'), Bogle (74')
Bogle (39'), Shinnie (80')

Tymon (34'), Allen (43')

Aug 17, 2019 3pm

Gameweek 3

2-2

Lindsay (32'), Hogan (55')
Woods (24'), Lindsay (43'), Smith (67')

Waghorn (2', 70')
Malone (45'), Lawrence (67'), Jozefzoon (68')

Mar 13, 2019 7.45pm

Gameweek 37

0-0