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May 7, 2022 at 12.30pm UK at Dean Court
Bournemouth
1 - 0
Millwall
Moore (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Kieftenbeld (68'), Saville (82')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Bournemouth and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Bournemouth 1-1 Millwall

A few sore heads in the Bournemouth dressing room may play into Millwall's hands here as they desperately seek a win, but the Lions have been inconsistent of late and their away record is patchy so we think that they will only manage to take a point from the South coast. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 59.4%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Millwall had a probability of 17.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.85%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%), while for a Millwall win it was 0-1 (6.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bournemouth in this match.

Result
BournemouthDrawMillwall
59.4%23.44%17.15%
Both teams to score 45.54%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.57%53.43%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.04%74.96%
Bournemouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.3%17.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.65%48.35%
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.33%44.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.33%80.67%
Score Analysis
    Bournemouth 59.4%
    Millwall 17.15%
    Draw 23.44%
BournemouthDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 13.69%
2-0 @ 11.85%
2-1 @ 9.55%
3-0 @ 6.84%
3-1 @ 5.51%
4-0 @ 2.96%
4-1 @ 2.39%
3-2 @ 2.22%
5-0 @ 1.03%
4-2 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 59.4%
1-1 @ 11.03%
0-0 @ 7.91%
2-2 @ 3.85%
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 23.44%
0-1 @ 6.37%
1-2 @ 4.45%
0-2 @ 2.57%
1-3 @ 1.19%
2-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 17.15%

How you voted: Bournemouth vs Millwall

Bournemouth
50.8%
Draw
14.3%
Millwall
34.9%
63
Head to Head
Nov 24, 2021 7.45pm
Apr 21, 2021 6pm
Millwall
1-4
Bournemouth
Wallace (49')
Malone (46'), Cooper (65'), McNamara (80')
Billing (16'), Danjuma (27'), Brooks (44'), Solanke (67')
Billing (80')
Jan 12, 2021 7.45pm
Bournemouth
1-1
Millwall
Solanke (45+1')
Lerma (82')
Smith (79')
Cooper (29'), Leonard (69')
Jan 7, 2017 3pm
rhs 2.0
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