Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 48.36%. A win for Sheriff Tiraspol had a probability of 26.69% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.43%) and 0-2 (8.45%). The likeliest Sheriff Tiraspol win was 1-0 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.