Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 59.32%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Club Brugge had a probability of 18.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.28%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.42%), while for a Club Brugge win it was 0-1 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.