Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 53.33%. A win for Club Brugge had a probability of 24.03% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.88%) and 0-2 (8.27%). The likeliest Club Brugge win was 2-1 (6.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.