Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 48.98%. A win for Benfica had a probability of 27.4% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.85%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Benfica win was 1-2 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.