Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 44.69%. A win for Bayern Munich had a probability of 33.77% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.52%) and 1-0 (5.05%). The likeliest Bayern Munich win was 1-2 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.