Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 53.13%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 19.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.41%) and 1-2 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.14%), while for an Atalanta BC win it was 1-0 (8.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.