Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 45.03%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 26.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.12%) and 2-1 (8.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.02%), while for an Atalanta BC win it was 0-1 (10.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.