Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 45.1%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Juventude had a probability of 27.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.88%) and 1-2 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.91%), while for a Juventude win it was 1-0 (9.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
