The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Libertadores clash between Sao Paulo and Palmeiras, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 43.8%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 27.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.93%) and 1-2 (8.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.14%), while for a Sao Paulo win it was 1-0 (10.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sao Paulo | Draw | Palmeiras |
| 27.24% | 28.96% | 43.8% |
| Both teams to score 42.6% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
