The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Libertadores clash between Palmeiras and Sao Paulo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 51.44%. A win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 24.72% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest Sao Paulo win was 0-1 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Palmeiras | Draw | Sao Paulo |
| 51.44% | 23.85% | 24.72% |
| Both teams to score 55.21% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
