Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 58.42%. A win for Cercle Brugge had a probability of 21.36% and a draw had a probability of 20.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.61%) and 3-1 (6.99%). The likeliest Cercle Brugge win was 1-2 (5.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union SG would win this match.
