MX23RW : Tuesday, March 28 04:41:50| >> :120:9109:9109:
Jan 28, 2023 at 4pm UK
Madagascar
3 - 1
Mozambique
Razafindranaivo (18'), Yves Razafindrakoto (67'), Ravelomanantsoa (87')
Randriatsiferana (28')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Carvalho (90+4')
Divrassone (27'), Muze (90+1')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's African Nations Championship clash between Madagascar and Mozambique, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
African Nations Championship
Last Game: Sudan 0-3 Madagascar
Monday, January 23 at 7pm in African Nations Championship
Last Game: Mozambique 0-1 Algeria
Saturday, January 21 at 7pm in African Nations Championship

We said: Madagascar 2-1 Mozambique

There is little separating the sides ahead of their meeting and the game could easily swing either way. That said, Mozambique just about look more solid at the moment, and we are leaning towards a victory for them come the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mozambique win with a probability of 41.48%. A draw had a probability of 30.2% and a win for Madagascar had a probability of 28.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mozambique win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.55%) and 1-2 (7.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.32%), while for a Madagascar win it was 1-0 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Madagascar would win this match.

Result
MadagascarDrawMozambique
28.37% (0.067 0.07) 30.15% (-0.488 -0.49) 41.48% (0.423 0.42)
Both teams to score 40.3% (1.166 1.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
33.41% (1.396 1.4)66.59% (-1.394 -1.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.02% (0.939 0.94)84.99% (-0.93599999999999 -0.94)
Madagascar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.08% (0.87 0.87)40.93% (-0.869 -0.87)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.51% (0.768 0.77)77.49% (-0.76600000000001 -0.77)
Mozambique Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.22% (0.985 0.98)31.78% (-0.983 -0.98)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.79% (1.113 1.11)68.21% (-1.112 -1.11)
Score Analysis
    Madagascar 28.36%
    Mozambique 41.47%
    Draw 30.15%
MadagascarDrawMozambique
1-0 @ 11.61% (-0.33 -0.33)
2-1 @ 5.95% (0.135 0.14)
2-0 @ 5.19% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-1 @ 1.77% (0.081 0.08)
3-0 @ 1.55% (0.031 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.02% (0.073 0.07)
Other @ 1.28%
Total : 28.36%
1-1 @ 13.32% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 13% (-0.69 -0.69)
2-2 @ 3.41% (0.167 0.17)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 30.15%
0-1 @ 14.9% (-0.38 -0.38)
0-2 @ 8.55% (0.020999999999999 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.64% (0.197 0.2)
0-3 @ 3.27% (0.095 0.1)
1-3 @ 2.92% (0.151 0.15)
2-3 @ 1.3% (0.096 0.1)
0-4 @ 0.94% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 41.47%

How you voted: 1st ranked Group C vs Mozambique

1st ranked Group C
71.4%
Draw
0.0%
Mozambique
28.6%
7
rhs 2.0
Todays Game Header Right
4pm
Sinner
Rublev
5pm
Fritz
Rune
5.30pm
Van De Zandschulp
Ruusuvuori
7.30pm
Khachanov
Tsitsipas
8.30pm
Alcaraz
Paul
9pm
Mannarino
TBC
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal28223366264069
2Manchester CityMan City27194467254261
3Manchester UnitedMan Utd2615564135650
4Tottenham HotspurSpurs28154952401249
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle261211339192047
6Liverpool26126847291842
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton25126746311542
8Brentford27101254334942
9Fulham27116103837139
10Chelsea2710892928138
11Aston Villa27115113539-438
12Crystal Palace2869132238-1627
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2876152241-1927
14Leeds UnitedLeeds2768133544-926
15Everton2868142240-1826
16Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest2768132249-2726
17Leicester CityLeicester2774163847-925
18West Ham UnitedWest Ham2666142434-1024
19Bournemouth2766152554-2924
20Southampton2865172346-2323

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