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Sunday's Serie A predictions including Verona vs. AC Milan

Sports Mole provides score predictions and previews for all of today's Serie A fixtures, including Verona vs. AC Milan.


Spezia vs. Atalanta (Sunday, 11.30am)

Atalanta's Marten de Roon celebrates scoring their first goal with Remo Freuler on April 3, 2022© Reuters

With their hopes of reaching Europe now dangling by a thread, Atalanta BC aim to recover from returning only one win in eight games, as they visit Spezia on Sunday.

La Dea will arrive at Stadio Alberto Picco three points adrift of both Roman clubs in the Serie A standings following Monday's 1-1 draw with Salernitana, while despite a late implosion last week, their hosts have almost achieved their objective: survival.

We say: Spezia 1-2 Atalanta BC


Both teams are capable of scoring from a variety of sources - Atalanta have scored courtesy of the most different players (19) in Serie A this season and Spezia sit fifth in that ranking (15) - so this encounter should not be short of goals.

Even though La Dea's morale is at a low ebb, they are generally more at ease on away soil, while their hosts may relax a little too much with safety almost assured.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 73.34%. A draw has a probability of 16.2% and a win for Spezia has a probability of 10.46%.

The most likely scoreline is Spezia 0-2 Atalanta BC with a probability of 11.44% and the second most likely scoreline is Spezia 0-3 Atalanta BC with a probability of 9.36%.


Our tipster partners are predicting an away win.

> Click here to read our full preview for this match


Venezia vs. Bologna (Sunday, 2.00pm)

Venezia's Thomas Henry celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on January 22, 2022© Reuters

Having plummeted to the foot of the Serie A standings during a 10-game losing streak, Venezia's survival hopes hang by a thread as they prepare to host Bologna on Sunday.

After a midweek defeat to one of their relegation rivals, the Lagunari appear destined for demotion, while their visitors arrive at Stadio Pier Luigi Penzo in their best form of the season.

We say: Venezia 1-1 Bologna


Unlikely to be a thriller due to both sides' lack of potency, this could be a close-fought encounter, with the home side desperately seeking to prolong their surely inevitable demise.

Bologna, meanwhile, can play with great freedom, and the confidence gleaned from recent results against the top clubs should ensure they continue their unbeaten run.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bologna win with a probability of 43.87%. A win for Venezia has a probability of 31.3% and a draw has a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline is Venezia 1-1 Bologna with a probability of 11.69% and the second most likely scoreline is Venezia 0-1 Bologna with a probability of 9.16%.


Our tipster partners are predicting over 2.5 goals.

> Click here to read our full preview for this match


Salernitana vs. Cagliari (Sunday, 5.00pm)

Salernitana's Federico Bonazzoli celebrates scoring their first goal with Luca Ranieri on February 19, 2022© Reuters

With momentum building behind their 'Great Escape' from Serie A demotion, Salernitana host relegation rivals Cagliari on Sunday, in a potentially make-or-break occasion for both sides.

Just three games from the end of the season, the hosts are a point clear of their Sardinian counterparts in the standings following a fourth win from five matches in midweek - but an away victory would lift the visitors out of the drop zone at their rivals' expense.

We say: Salernitana 2-2 Cagliari


Two teams equally desperate for the points should be expected to go all-out for victory, which could result in plenty of thrills for the neutral.

A change in the dugout may help Cagliari turn around their dire form, but Salernitana only need a draw to keep their noses in front so may settle for a point in the end.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Salernitana win with a probability of 41.23%. A win for Cagliari has a probability of 32.92% and a draw has a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline is Salernitana 1-1 Cagliari with a probability of 12.28% and the second most likely scoreline is Salernitana 1-0 Cagliari with a probability of 9.85%.


Our tipster partners are predicting under 2.5 goals.

> Click here to read our full preview for this match


Hellas Verona vs. AC Milan (Sunday, 7.45pm)

AC Milan's Pierre Kalulu celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on March 12, 2022© Reuters

As the Scudetto contest boils down to an absorbing battle between two Milanese rivals, AC Milan have the chance to reclaim first place on Sunday evening, when they visit Hellas Verona.

After Inter went a point clear at the top with victory on Friday, the Rossoneri - seeking a first Serie A title in over a decade - can assume the summit before the last two games with at least a draw at Stadio Bentegodi.

We say: Hellas Verona 1-2 AC Milan


With such a reliable front three, Verona should be fancied to break down even Milan's steadfast back four at some stage, but that may not prove enough to taste victory at the final whistle, given their visitors have lost only a single Serie A away game.

The Rossoneri have not been prolific of late, but having Ibrahimovic back on the bench offers an invaluable option to mix things up if the game remains deadlocked in the tense final stages.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a AC Milan win with a probability of 47.83%. A win for Hellas Verona has a probability of 28.08% and a draw has a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline is Hellas Verona 1-1 AC Milan with a probability of 11.28% and the second most likely scoreline is Hellas Verona 1-2 AC Milan with a probability of 9.45%.


Our tipster partners are predicting over 2.5 goals.

> Click here to read our full preview for this match

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Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1AC Milan37258466313583
2Inter Milan37249481324981
3Napoli37237771314076
4Juventus382010857372070
5Lazio3818101077581964
6Roma381891159431663
7Fiorentina38195145951862
8Atalanta BCAtalanta3816111165481759
9Hellas VeronaHellas Verona381411136559653
10Torino381311144641550
11SassuoloSassuolo371311136463150
12Bologna381210164455-1146
13Udinese371014135758-144
14Empoli381011175070-2041
15Sampdoria37106214660-1436
16SpeziaSpezia37106214168-2736
17Salernitana37710203374-4131
18CagliariCagliari37611203468-3429
RGenoa38416182760-3328
RVeneziaVenezia3768233469-3526

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