Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zimbabwe win with a probability of 38.67%. A win for Ghana had a probability of 32.05% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zimbabwe win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.71%) and 2-0 (7.56%). The likeliest Ghana win was 0-1 (11.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
