We said: Barcelona Women 2-1 Lyon Women
Barcelona have only lost one game in all competitions this season, and although we expect Lyon to offer a stern test, we think that the defending champions will have the extra bit of quality needed to clinch a narrow victory over the seven-time Champions League winners on Saturday.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona Women win with a probability of 54.42%. A win for Lyon Women had a probability of 25.24% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.67%) and 2-0 (6.17%). The likeliest Lyon Women win was 1-2 (6.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
0.66) 
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