La Luz
3 - 4
Penarol
Neira (10'), Royon (83', 87')
Schiappacasse (41'), Mendez (45+7'), Royon (90'), de los Santos (90+6')
Schiappacasse (41'), Mendez (45+7'), Royon (90'), de los Santos (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Menosse (13'), Arezo (45+8' pen., 65', 90+8' pen.)
Coelho (24'), Homenchenko (70'), Cardozo (89')
Aguirregaray (90+1')
Coelho (24'), Homenchenko (70'), Cardozo (89')
Aguirregaray (90+1')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between La Luz and Penarol.
More game data and we say below the videos
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: La Luz 1-3 Wanderers
Sunday, February 5 at 12.45pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Sunday, February 5 at 12.45pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Penarol 2-0 Cerro
Saturday, February 4 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Saturday, February 4 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 50.74%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for La Luz had a probability of 21.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.97%) and 1-2 (8.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.45%), while for a La Luz win it was 1-0 (9.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.
| Result | ||
| La Luz | Draw | Penarol |
21.25% ( 0.43) | 28.01% ( -0.08) | 50.74% ( -0.35) |
| Both teams to score 39.94% ( 0.65) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
