Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Vorskla Poltava and Mariupol.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vorskla Poltava win with a probability of 49.92%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Mariupol had a probability of 24.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vorskla Poltava win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.02%), while for a Mariupol win it was 0-1 (7.67%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vorskla Poltava would win this match.
