Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 62.08%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Rukh Lviv had a probability of 16.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.7%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.98%), while for a Rukh Lviv win it was 0-1 (5.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.
