Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tenerife win with a probability of 36.58%. A win for Real Zaragoza had a probability of 34.17% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tenerife win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.49%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Real Zaragoza win was 0-1 (12.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.
