Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Lugo and Real Zaragoza.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 46.7%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Lugo had a probability of 25.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.25%) and 1-2 (8.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.76%), while for a Lugo win it was 1-0 (9.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Zaragoza would win this match.
