Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tenerife win with a probability of 48.82%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Mirandes had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tenerife win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.52%) and 2-1 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.46%), while for a Mirandes win it was 0-1 (8.54%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tenerife would win this match.
