Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 64.35%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for East Kilbride had a probability of 16.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.89%) and 0-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.13%), while for a East Kilbride win it was 2-1 (4.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.