Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 43.58%. A win for Zenit St Petersburg had a probability of 30.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Zenit St Petersburg win was 0-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.