Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 71.7%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Rostov had a probability of 10.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.28%) and 3-0 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.36%), while for a Rostov win it was 0-1 (3.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
