Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 50.78%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Belenenses had a probability of 23.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.52%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.02%), while for a Belenenses win it was 0-1 (7.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.