Coverage of the Primeira Liga clash between Braga and Vitoria de Guimaraes.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 40.8%. A win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 34.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
