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Premier League | Gameweek 6
Sep 3, 2022 at 3pm UK
St James' Park
Crystal Palace logo
Newcastle
0 - 0
Crystal Palace

Longstaff (15'), Fraser (67')
FT

Ward (56'), Doucoure (90+6')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Newcastle United and Crystal Palace, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

We said: Newcastle United 2-1 Crystal Palace

Scoring and conceding away from home has been the theme for Crystal Palace over the past few months, and a similar pattern should be followed here, with Newcastle still vulnerable at the back at times. Both teams will be fired up to put their midweek disappointments behind them, but the bouncing St James' Park atmosphere, potential returns of Guimaraes and Saint-Maximin and Isak's explosive start will all work in Newcastle's favour as Howe's side seek to grind out a narrow victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 48.59%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 25.76% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.97%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 0-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
Newcastle UnitedDrawCrystal Palace
48.59% (1.867 1.87) 25.65% (-0.627 -0.63) 25.76% (-1.239 -1.24)
Both teams to score 50.58% (0.862 0.86)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.31% (1.61 1.61)52.69% (-1.61 -1.61)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.67% (1.36 1.36)74.33% (-1.36 -1.36)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.3% (1.522 1.52)21.7% (-1.52 -1.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.15% (2.272 2.27)54.85% (-2.271 -2.27)
Crystal Palace Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.6% (-0.158 -0.16)35.4% (0.158 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.84% (-0.165 -0.16)72.16% (0.166 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Newcastle United 48.58%
    Crystal Palace 25.76%
    Draw 25.64%
Newcastle UnitedDrawCrystal Palace
1-0 @ 11.73% (-0.21 -0.21)
2-1 @ 9.31% (0.213 0.21)
2-0 @ 8.97% (0.243 0.24)
3-1 @ 4.74% (0.314 0.31)
3-0 @ 4.57% (0.32 0.32)
3-2 @ 2.46% (0.153 0.15)
4-1 @ 1.81% (0.195 0.2)
4-0 @ 1.74% (0.194 0.19)
4-2 @ 0.94% (0.098 0.1)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 48.58%
1-1 @ 12.18% (-0.28 -0.28)
0-0 @ 7.68% (-0.501 -0.5)
2-2 @ 4.84% (0.09 0.09)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 25.64%
0-1 @ 7.98% (-0.557 -0.56)
1-2 @ 6.33% (-0.17 -0.17)
0-2 @ 4.14% (-0.309 -0.31)
1-3 @ 2.19% (-0.068 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.67% (0.024 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.43% (-0.113 -0.11)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 25.76%

How you voted: Newcastle vs Crystal Palace

Newcastle United
71.6%
Draw
15.8%
Crystal Palace
12.6%
190
Head to Head
Apr 20, 2022 7.45pm
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
Crystal Palace
1-1
Newcastle
Benteke (56')
Andersen (13'), Ward (27'), Benteke (89')
Wilson (65')
Wilson (27'), Lascelles (59'), Joelinton (90+2'), Ritchie (90+4')
Feb 2, 2021 8.15pm
Newcastle
1-2
Crystal Palace
Shelvey (2')
Shelvey (29')
Riedewald (21'), Cahill (25')
Clyne (51'), Milivojevic (72'), Ayew (90+3')
Nov 27, 2020 8pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CManchester CityMan City38285594336189
2Arsenal38266688434584
3Manchester UnitedMan Utd38236958431575
4Newcastle UnitedNewcastle381914568333571
5Liverpool381910975472867
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton381881272531962
7Aston Villa38187135146561
8Tottenham HotspurSpurs38186147063760
9Brentford381514958461259
10Fulham38157165553252
11Crystal Palace381112154049-945
12Chelsea381111163847-944
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38118193158-2741
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham38117204255-1340
15Bournemouth38116213771-3439
16Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest38911183868-3038
17Everton38812183457-2336
RLeicester CityLeicester3897225168-1734
RLeeds UnitedLeeds38710214878-3031
RSouthampton3867253673-3725

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