Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Under-21s win with a probability of 60.08%. A win for Manchester United Under-21s had a probability of 21.38% and a draw had a probability of 18.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.24%) and 0-2 (5.98%). The likeliest Manchester United Under-21s win was 2-1 (5.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City Under-21s would win this match.