Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Republic of Ireland win with a probability of 39.28%. A win for Armenia had a probability of 34.24% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Republic of Ireland win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest Armenia win was 1-0 (9.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.