Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Republic of Ireland win with a probability of 41.32%. A draw had a probability of 31.6% and a win for Azerbaijan had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Republic of Ireland win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.78%) and 1-2 (7.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.18%), while for an Azerbaijan win it was 1-0 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Republic of Ireland would win this match.