Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 54.22%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Republic of Ireland had a probability of 19.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.26%) and 1-2 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.95%), while for a Republic of Ireland win it was 1-0 (7.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.