Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 39.71%. A win for Chesterfield had a probability of 32.51% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Chesterfield win was 0-1 (10.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Wrexham | Draw | Chesterfield |
39.71% | 27.78% | 32.51% |
Both teams to score 48.01% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.22% | 57.78% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.49% | 78.51% |
Wrexham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.59% | 28.41% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.84% | 64.16% |
Chesterfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.07% | 32.93% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.49% | 69.51% |
Score Analysis |
Wrexham | Draw | Chesterfield |
1-0 @ 11.77% 2-1 @ 8.23% 2-0 @ 7.41% 3-1 @ 3.45% 3-0 @ 3.11% 3-2 @ 1.92% 4-1 @ 1.09% 4-0 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.76% Total : 39.71% | 1-1 @ 13.07% 0-0 @ 9.36% 2-2 @ 4.57% Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.77% | 0-1 @ 10.39% 1-2 @ 7.26% 0-2 @ 5.77% 1-3 @ 2.69% 0-3 @ 2.14% 2-3 @ 1.69% Other @ 2.57% Total : 32.51% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wrexham | 34 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 88 | 32 | 56 | 84 |
2 | Notts County | 35 | 25 | 8 | 2 | 89 | 32 | 57 | 83 |
3 | Woking | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 59 | 37 | 22 | 62 |
4 | Barnet | 33 | 17 | 5 | 11 | 64 | 57 | 7 | 56 |
5 | Chesterfield | 33 | 16 | 7 | 10 | 55 | 41 | 14 | 55 |
6 | Eastleigh | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 42 | 37 | 5 | 54 |
7 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 43 | 31 | 12 | 53 |
8 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 33 | 13 | 13 | 7 | 40 | 30 | 10 | 52 |
9 | Bromley | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 49 | 41 | 8 | 51 |
10 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 48 |
11 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 54 | 59 | -5 | 46 |
12 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 46 |
13 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 48 | 50 | -2 | 42 |
14 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 42 |
15 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 41 |
16 | Halifax TownHalifax | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 34 | 42 | -8 | 40 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 35 | 11 | 5 | 19 | 48 | 60 | -12 | 38 |
18 | York City | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 36 |
19 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 32 | 6 | 15 | 11 | 28 | 37 | -9 | 33 |
20 | Gateshead | 32 | 7 | 12 | 13 | 40 | 50 | -10 | 33 |
21 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 77 | -29 | 33 |
22 | Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 38 | 60 | -22 | 29 |
23 | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 34 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 39 | 66 | -27 | 27 |
24 | Maidstone UnitedMaidstone | 35 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 38 | 75 | -37 | 24 |
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