Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 57.52%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 21.97% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.57%) and 0-1 (7.04%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 2-1 (5.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Oldham Athletic | Draw | Notts County |
21.97% ( -0.34) | 20.5% ( -0.13) | 57.52% ( 0.47) |
Both teams to score 63.51% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.38% ( 0.18) | 33.61% ( -0.18) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.57% ( 0.2) | 55.43% ( -0.2) |
Oldham Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.88% ( -0.18) | 28.12% ( 0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.21% ( -0.23) | 63.79% ( 0.23) |
Notts County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.35% ( 0.19) | 11.65% ( -0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.31% ( 0.4) | 36.69% ( -0.4) |
Score Analysis |
Oldham Athletic | Draw | Notts County |
2-1 @ 5.67% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 4.16% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 2.64% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.4% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 1.12% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.43% Total : 21.97% | 1-1 @ 8.93% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 6.09% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 3.28% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.85% ( -0) Other @ 0.35% Total : 20.5% | 1-2 @ 9.61% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.57% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 7.04% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 6.88% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 5.43% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 4.37% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 3.7% ( 0.06) 0-4 @ 2.92% ( 0.06) 2-4 @ 2.35% ( 0.02) 1-5 @ 1.59% ( 0.03) 0-5 @ 1.25% ( 0.03) 2-5 @ 1.01% ( 0.02) 3-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.82% Total : 57.52% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Notts County | 32 | 23 | 8 | 1 | 80 | 29 | 51 | 77 |
2 | Wrexham | 30 | 22 | 6 | 2 | 77 | 27 | 50 | 72 |
3 | Woking | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 55 | 32 | 23 | 58 |
4 | Chesterfield | 29 | 16 | 5 | 8 | 53 | 37 | 16 | 53 |
5 | Barnet | 29 | 16 | 5 | 8 | 56 | 47 | 9 | 53 |
6 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 40 | 26 | 14 | 47 |
7 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 29 | 11 | 11 | 7 | 35 | 28 | 7 | 44 |
8 | Bromley | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 44 | 38 | 6 | 44 |
9 | Eastleigh | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 37 | 36 | 1 | 44 |
10 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 42 |
11 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 41 |
12 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 46 | 45 | 1 | 40 |
13 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 32 | 11 | 5 | 16 | 43 | 50 | -7 | 38 |
14 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 36 |
15 | Halifax TownHalifax | 30 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 35 |
16 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 33 |
17 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 28 | 6 | 14 | 8 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 32 |
18 | York City | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 32 |
19 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 32 |
20 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 30 |
21 | Gateshead | 29 | 6 | 11 | 12 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 29 |
22 | Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 26 |
23 | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 35 | 59 | -24 | 23 |
24 | Maidstone UnitedMaidstone | 31 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 35 | 68 | -33 | 22 |
> Full Version |