Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 64.37%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 15.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.85%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.63%), while for a Maidenhead United win it was 0-1 (4.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.