Southport 3-2 Chester FC - National League North - October 30, 2021 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

Oct 30, 2021 at 3pm UK at Merseyrail Community Stadium

Bainbridge (9'), Archer (37'), Carver (40')

FT(HT: 3-1)

Dudley (34' pen.), Lacey (48')

Coverage of the National League North clash between Southport and Chester FC.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 40.18%. A win for Southport had a probability of 35.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.69%) and 0-2 (5.99%). The likeliest Southport win was 2-1 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.

Result
Southport	Draw	Chester FC
35.58%	24.23%	40.18%

Both teams to score 60.41%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.83%

42.17%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.42%

64.58%

Southport Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.56%

23.44%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.56%

57.44%

Chester FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.9%

21.1%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.06%

53.94%

Score Analysis

Southport 35.58%

Chester FC 40.18%

Draw 24.23%

Southport	Draw	Chester FC
2-1 @ 8.1% 1-0 @ 7.18% 2-0 @ 5.21% 3-1 @ 3.92% 3-2 @ 3.05% 3-0 @ 2.52% 4-1 @ 1.42% 4-2 @ 1.11% 4-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.18% Total : 35.58%	1-1 @ 11.16% 2-2 @ 6.3% 0-0 @ 4.95% 3-3 @ 1.58% Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.23%	1-2 @ 8.68% 0-1 @ 7.69% 0-2 @ 5.99% 1-3 @ 4.5% 2-3 @ 3.27% 0-3 @ 3.1% 1-4 @ 1.75% 2-4 @ 1.27% 0-4 @ 1.21% Other @ 2.72% Total : 40.18%