Alfreton Town 5-1 Bradford Park Avenue - National League North - October 30, 2021 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

National League North | Gameweek 12

Oct 30, 2021 at 3pm UK

North Street

Alfreton

5 - 1

Bradford Park Av

Southwell (1'), Ceesay (4'), Hobson (10'), Reeves (76'), Branson (87')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Nowakowski (69')

Coverage of the National League North clash between Alfreton Town and Bradford Park Avenue.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 57.55%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Bradford Park Avenue had a probability of 20.66%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.39%) and 2-0 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.17%), while for a Bradford Park Avenue win it was 1-2 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alfreton Town would win this match.

Result
Alfreton Town	Draw	Bradford Park Avenue
57.55%	21.8%	20.66%

Both teams to score 56.73%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.42%

41.58%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.02%

63.98%

Alfreton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.78%

14.22%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.04%

41.96%

Bradford Park Avenue Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.13%

33.86%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.47%

70.53%

Score Analysis

Alfreton Town 57.55%

Bradford Park Avenue 20.66%

Draw 21.8%

Alfreton Town	Draw	Bradford Park Avenue
2-1 @ 9.92% 1-0 @ 9.39% 2-0 @ 9.16% 3-1 @ 6.45% 3-0 @ 5.96% 3-2 @ 3.49% 4-1 @ 3.15% 4-0 @ 2.91% 4-2 @ 1.7% 5-1 @ 1.23% 5-0 @ 1.13% Other @ 3.06% Total : 57.55%	1-1 @ 10.17% 2-2 @ 5.37% 0-0 @ 4.82% 3-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 0.18% Total : 21.8%	1-2 @ 5.51% 0-1 @ 5.21% 0-2 @ 2.82% 1-3 @ 1.99% 2-3 @ 1.94% 0-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.17% Total : 20.66%