Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 52.11%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for DC United had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.64%) and 0-2 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.59%), while for a DC United win it was 1-0 (6.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
Result | ||
DC United | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
23.5% | 24.39% | 52.11% |
Both teams to score 52.14% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.48% | 49.52% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.45% | 71.55% |
DC United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.35% | 35.64% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.58% | 72.42% |
Philadelphia Union Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.02% | 18.97% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.49% | 50.51% |
Score Analysis |
DC United | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
1-0 @ 6.98% 2-1 @ 5.98% 2-0 @ 3.6% 3-1 @ 2.06% 3-2 @ 1.71% 3-0 @ 1.24% Other @ 1.94% Total : 23.5% | 1-1 @ 11.59% 0-0 @ 6.76% 2-2 @ 4.97% 3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.38% | 0-1 @ 11.24% 1-2 @ 9.64% 0-2 @ 9.34% 1-3 @ 5.34% 0-3 @ 5.18% 2-3 @ 2.75% 1-4 @ 2.22% 0-4 @ 2.15% 2-4 @ 1.14% Other @ 3.11% Total : 52.11% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 27 | 14 | 9 | 4 | 51 | 20 | 31 | 51 |
2 | CF MontrealMontreal | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 47 | 41 | 6 | 46 |
3 | New York City FCNY City | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 48 | 30 | 18 | 45 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 41 | 33 | 8 | 41 |
5 | Orlando City | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 36 |
6 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 34 | 42 | -8 | 36 |
7 | Columbus Crew | 25 | 8 | 11 | 6 | 34 | 29 | 5 | 35 |
8 | New England RevolutionNew England | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 34 |
9 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 43 | 46 | -3 | 34 |
10 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 27 | 10 | 2 | 15 | 34 | 42 | -8 | 32 |
11 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 36 | 40 | -4 | 30 |
12 | Toronto | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 40 | 47 | -7 | 30 |
13 | Chicago Fire | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 28 | 36 | -8 | 30 |
14 | DC United | 26 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 28 | 55 | -27 | 22 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 27 | 14 | 9 | 4 | 51 | 20 | 31 | 51 |
2 | CF MontrealMontreal | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 47 | 41 | 6 | 46 |
3 | New York City FCNY City | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 48 | 30 | 18 | 45 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 41 | 33 | 8 | 41 |
5 | Orlando City | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 36 |
6 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 34 | 42 | -8 | 36 |
7 | Columbus Crew | 25 | 8 | 11 | 6 | 34 | 29 | 5 | 35 |
8 | New England RevolutionNew England | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 34 |
9 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 43 | 46 | -3 | 34 |
10 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 27 | 10 | 2 | 15 | 34 | 42 | -8 | 32 |
11 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 36 | 40 | -4 | 30 |
12 | Toronto | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 40 | 47 | -7 | 30 |
13 | Chicago Fire | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 28 | 36 | -8 | 30 |
14 | DC United | 26 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 28 | 55 | -27 | 22 |