Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lorient win with a probability of 38.68%. A win for Nice had a probability of 35.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (6.46%). The likeliest Nice win was 0-1 (8.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lorient | Draw | Nice |
38.68% | 25.86% | 35.46% |
Both teams to score 54.64% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.38% | 49.62% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.36% | 71.64% |
Lorient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.83% | 25.17% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.11% | 59.89% |
Nice Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.02% | 26.98% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.67% | 62.33% |
Score Analysis |
Lorient | Draw | Nice |
1-0 @ 9.37% 2-1 @ 8.47% 2-0 @ 6.46% 3-1 @ 3.89% 3-0 @ 2.97% 3-2 @ 2.55% 4-1 @ 1.34% 4-0 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.6% Total : 38.68% | 1-1 @ 12.27% 0-0 @ 6.79% 2-2 @ 5.55% 3-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.85% | 0-1 @ 8.9% 1-2 @ 8.04% 0-2 @ 5.83% 1-3 @ 3.51% 0-3 @ 2.54% 2-3 @ 2.42% 1-4 @ 1.15% Other @ 3.08% Total : 35.46% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 28 | 21 | 3 | 4 | 68 | 28 | 40 | 66 |
2 | Marseille | 28 | 18 | 5 | 5 | 53 | 28 | 25 | 59 |
3 | Lens | 28 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 47 | 21 | 26 | 57 |
4 | MonacoMonaco | 28 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 57 | 37 | 20 | 54 |
5 | Rennes | 28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 47 | 29 | 18 | 50 |
6 | Lille | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 51 | 36 | 15 | 49 |
7 | Nice | 28 | 11 | 11 | 6 | 37 | 25 | 12 | 44 |
8 | Lorient | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 41 | 37 | 4 | 44 |
9 | Reims | 28 | 10 | 13 | 5 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 43 |
10 | Lyon | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 41 |
11 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 28 | 11 | 3 | 14 | 44 | 47 | -3 | 36 |
12 | Toulouse | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 35 |
13 | Clermont | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 34 |
14 | NantesNantes | 28 | 6 | 12 | 10 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 30 |
15 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 28 | 5 | 11 | 12 | 34 | 46 | -12 | 26 |
16 | Brest | 28 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 30 | 46 | -16 | 24 |
17 | Auxerre | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 23 | 51 | -28 | 23 |
18 | Troyes | 28 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 61 | -23 | 21 |
19 | Ajaccio | 28 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 20 | 50 | -30 | 21 |
20 | Angers | 28 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 21 | 63 | -42 | 10 |
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