Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Leon win with a probability of 44.19%. A win for CD Guadalajara had a probability of 28.72% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Leon win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest CD Guadalajara win was 0-1 (9.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club Leon would win this match.
