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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 49.93%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 26.57% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.99%) and 0-2 (7.88%). The likeliest Salford City win was 2-1 (6.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.
Result | ||
Salford City | Draw | Notts County |
26.57% ( -0.21) | 23.5% ( -0.09) | 49.93% ( 0.3) |
Both teams to score 58.19% ( 0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.99% ( 0.25) | 43% ( -0.25) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.59% ( 0.25) | 65.4% ( -0.25) |
Salford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.4% ( -0.02) | 29.6% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.37% ( -0.03) | 65.63% ( 0.03) |
Notts County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.66% ( 0.2) | 17.34% ( -0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.28% ( 0.36) | 47.72% ( -0.37) |
Score Analysis |
Salford City | Draw | Notts County |
2-1 @ 6.66% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 6.25% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 3.8% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 2.7% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.37% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.54% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.23% Total : 26.57% | 1-1 @ 10.94% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.84% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.13% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.5% | 1-2 @ 9.59% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 8.99% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 7.88% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 5.6% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 4.6% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 3.41% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 2.45% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 2.02% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 1.49% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.89% Total : 49.93% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Stockport CountyStockport | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 53 | 26 | 27 | 51 |
2 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 25 | 13 | 10 | 2 | 44 | 20 | 24 | 49 |
3 | Wrexham | 25 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 52 | 36 | 16 | 49 |
4 | BarrowBarrow | 26 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 38 | 24 | 14 | 48 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 48 | 39 | 9 | 44 |
6 | Notts County | 26 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 55 | 47 | 8 | 42 |
7 | AFC Wimbledon | 25 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 41 | 28 | 13 | 39 |
8 | MK Dons | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 39 | 31 | 8 | 39 |
9 | Crawley TownCrawley | 26 | 12 | 3 | 11 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 39 |
10 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 38 |
11 | Gillingham | 25 | 12 | 2 | 11 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 38 |
12 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 32 | 35 | -3 | 37 |
13 | Walsall | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 39 | 36 | 3 | 36 |
14 | Bradford CityBradford | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 34 |
15 | Swindon TownSwindon | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 49 | 52 | -3 | 34 |
16 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 27 | 10 | 3 | 14 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 33 |
17 | Morecambe | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 33 |
18 | Newport CountyNewport | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 31 |
19 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 31 | 46 | -15 | 28 |
20 | Grimsby Town | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 27 |
21 | Salford City | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 24 |
22 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 27 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 37 | 54 | -17 | 24 |
23 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 26 | 46 | -20 | 18 |
24 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 28 | 52 | -24 | 18 |
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