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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 58.73%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Carlisle United had a probability of 19.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.2%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.52%), while for a Carlisle United win it was 0-1 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Portsmouth in this match.
Result | ||
Portsmouth | Draw | Carlisle United |
58.73% ( 0.05) | 22.2% ( 0) | 19.07% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 52.73% ( -0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.4% ( -0.09) | 45.6% ( 0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.07% ( -0.08) | 67.93% ( 0.08) |
Portsmouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.81% ( -0.01) | 15.19% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.18% ( -0.02) | 43.82% ( 0.02) |
Carlisle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.18% ( -0.11) | 37.82% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.41% ( -0.11) | 74.6% ( 0.11) |
Score Analysis |
Portsmouth | Draw | Carlisle United |
1-0 @ 10.82% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 10.2% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.92% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.41% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 6.23% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.03% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.02% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.94% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.43% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.14% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.11% ( -0) Other @ 2.49% Total : 58.73% | 1-1 @ 10.52% 0-0 @ 5.75% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.82% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.19% | 0-1 @ 5.59% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.12% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.43% Total : 19.07% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Portsmouth | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 42 | 22 | 20 | 53 |
2 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 24 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 45 | 24 | 21 | 51 |
3 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 25 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 50 | 27 | 23 | 49 |
4 | Derby CountyDerby | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 47 | 24 | 23 | 49 |
5 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 25 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 42 | 29 | 13 | 46 |
6 | Barnsley | 24 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 46 | 28 | 18 | 43 |
7 | Stevenage | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 37 | 25 | 12 | 43 |
8 | Blackpool | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 42 | 32 | 10 | 39 |
9 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 25 | 11 | 3 | 11 | 31 | 33 | -2 | 36 |
10 | Bristol Rovers | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 34 |
11 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 32 |
12 | Leyton Orient | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 32 |
13 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 39 | 37 | 2 | 30 |
14 | Port Vale | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 30 |
15 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 26 | 9 | 3 | 14 | 17 | 36 | -19 | 30 |
16 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 29 |
17 | Burton Albion | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 21 | 35 | -14 | 28 |
18 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 27 |
19 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 32 | -11 | 27 |
20 | Exeter CityExeter | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 18 | 37 | -19 | 26 |
21 | Reading | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 23 |
22 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 23 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 21 | 38 | -17 | 20 |
24 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 22 | 45 | -23 | 18 |
> League One Full Table |