Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 47.73%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for PAS Giannina had a probability of 24.97%.
The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.56%) and 1-2 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.69%), while for a PAS Giannina win it was 1-0 (9.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AEK Athens would win this match.
