Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panathinaikos win with a probability of 57.12%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Panetolikos had a probability of 17.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panathinaikos win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.59%) and 2-1 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.53%), while for a Panetolikos win it was 0-1 (7.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Panathinaikos would win this match.
