Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in League One
We said: Leyton Orient 1-0 Carlisle United
While a decent cup run could appeal to Carlisle, prioritising League One safety could mean their undefeated run at this stage ends at Leyton Orient. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 48.65%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 26.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leyton Orient would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leyton Orient | Draw | Carlisle United |
| 48.65% | 25.14% | 26.2% |
| Both teams to score 52.49% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
