Having already secured a comfortable lead, Sheriff will likely look to keep their clean sheet intact for as long as possible, and an early goal for them should bring an end to any lingering hope for the hosts. We fancy BATE to get on the scoresheet in front of their home fans but expect Sheriff to get the better of them once again.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheriff Tiraspol win with a probability of 48.83%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for BATE Borisov had a probability of 25.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sheriff Tiraspol win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.3%) and 1-2 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.34%), while for a BATE Borisov win it was 1-0 (8.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
-2.86) 
3.06) 
