The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Willem II and FC Utrecht, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Willem II 3-0 Utrecht
Sunday, May 15 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Sunday, May 15 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Fortuna Sittard | 33 | -32 | 32 |
| 17 | Willem II | 33 | -28 | 30 |
| 18 | PEC Zwolle | 33 | -25 | 27 |
Last Game: Vitesse 3-0 Utrecht
Sunday, May 22 at 5pm in Eredivisie
Sunday, May 22 at 5pm in Eredivisie
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Vitesse | 33 | -9 | 50 |
| 7 | FC Utrecht | 33 | 8 | 47 |
| 8 | NEC | 33 | -13 | 38 |
We said: Willem II 1-0 FC Utrecht
While their destiny is currently not in their own hands, Willem will be looking to give themselves a last shot at survival with all three points in this one. We are fancying them to emerge victorious, albeit by only the narrowest of margins. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 44.89%. A win for Willem II had a probability of 29.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.15%) and 0-2 (7.69%). The likeliest Willem II win was 1-0 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Willem II would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Willem II | Draw | FC Utrecht |
29.74% ( -0) | 25.36% | 44.89% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 54.32% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
