Off the back of their recent run of results, Feyenoord will back themselves to emerge triumphant this weekend, and while Utrecht are no pushovers, we expect the home side to carry the day, albeit by only a narrow margin.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 54.75%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 23.12% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.63%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 1-2 (6.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Feyenoord in this match.
