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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 64.17%. A draw has a probability of 19.8% and a win for Willem II has a probability of 16%.
The most likely scoreline was FC Utrecht 2-0 Willem II with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines were 2-1 (9.91%), 1-0 (9.67%), 1-1 (9.3%). The actual score line of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.6%.
Result | ||
FC Utrecht | Draw | Willem II |
64.17% | 19.84% | 16% |
Both teams to score 54.45% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.73% | 40.27% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.36% | 62.64% |
FC Utrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.13% | 11.87% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.84% | 37.17% |
Willem II Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.78% | 38.22% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.02% | 74.98% |
Score Analysis |
FC Utrecht | Draw | Willem II |
2-0 @ 10.3% 2-1 @ 9.91% 1-0 @ 9.67% 3-0 @ 7.32% 3-1 @ 7.04% 4-0 @ 3.9% 4-1 @ 3.75% 3-2 @ 3.39% 4-2 @ 1.8% 5-0 @ 1.66% 5-1 @ 1.6% Other @ 3.82% Total : 64.17% | 1-1 @ 9.3% 2-2 @ 4.77% 0-0 @ 4.54% 3-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 0.15% Total : 19.84% | 1-2 @ 4.47% 0-1 @ 4.36% 0-2 @ 2.1% 2-3 @ 1.53% 1-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 2.1% Total : 16% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Ajax | 34 | 26 | 5 | 3 | 98 | 19 | 79 | 83 |
2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 34 | 26 | 3 | 5 | 86 | 42 | 44 | 81 |
3 | Feyenoord | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 76 | 34 | 42 | 71 |
4 | FC Twente | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 55 | 37 | 18 | 68 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 61 |
6 | Vitesse | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 51 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 51 | 46 | 5 | 47 |
8 | Heerenveen | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 41 |
9 | Cambuur | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 53 | 70 | -17 | 39 |
10 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 38 |
11 | NEC | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 38 | 52 | -14 | 38 |
12 | Groningen | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 41 | 55 | -14 | 36 |
13 | Go Ahead Eagles | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 37 | 51 | -14 | 36 |
14 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 30 | 48 | -18 | 35 |
15 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 34 | 10 | 5 | 19 | 36 | 67 | -31 | 35 |
16 | Heracles | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 33 | 49 | -16 | 34 |
17 | Willem II | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 32 | 57 | -25 | 33 |
R | PEC Zwolle | 34 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 27 |
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